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- Mini-Salon 5:
Date Attribution: Criteria and Precision. by Steve Price
(http://www.turkotek.com/VB22/forumdisplay.php?forumid=55)
-- Belief vs.
Reason (http://www.turkotek.com/VB22/showthread.php?threadid=1120)
Belief vs. Reason
It's interesting, Steve, that this Salon should come as the U.S. is embroiled
in a far-ranging debate over this very issue.
The polarization
separating those who profess that "belief" is sufficient to explain complex
phenomena from those who require explanations that adhere to the logical rigor
of science is growing at a pace once unimagined. It has manifested itself most
recently in the analysis of the differences between the right and the left in
the political make-up of the American electorate - with the right-wing
comprising "believers" and the left-wing made up of "reasoners".
What I
find particularly interesting is how some who reject the political dogma of the
"right" are nevertheless virulent advocates of belief when it comes to their own
beliefs.
...just a thought.
Cordially,
-Jerry-
Hi Jerry
I don't want this to become an arena for political debate -
there are enough of those without us and I have no interest in moderating a
venue for it. Suffice it to say that I think both extremes of the political
spectrum are essentially "believers", those closer to the center on both sides
tend to be "reasoners."
More to the point of the mini-salon, ruggies are
generally "reasoners" with regard to attributions, but seldom examine the
foundations on which their reasoning rests. The foundations of the criteria for
age attribution are often very soft, which is why some folks who have
credentials as experts (that is, intelligent people who have pursued and
absorbed as much education on the subject as is accessible) will be conservative
while others will be aggressive in assigning dates. Most understand that their
attributions are probability statements with the actual probabilities being
unknown. A few truly believe in the accuracy of their date attributions; they
say things like "I don't think, I know ..." when making them. I think
they are trapped by their delusions.
Regards from the right wing, where
skepticism is alive and well.
Steve Price
Hi Jerry -
I am surprised a bit to see you introduce a political point
on a rug board. I know some places where you can get in modest trouble doing
that.
But both you
and Steve are right. Human perception is active. Belief systems act as filters
and selection (and omission) operates all the time. The sciences are only
marginally better off.
The only recent human who might plausibly have
been able to look at things with an "open mind" (something he sometimes promised
to do) was Jerry Ford.
It is said that he may have acquired this ability
from playing lots of football at Michigan, sans helmet.
I don't have a
"Michigan" rug to take us back to our proper field of discussion but I bet there
are some.
I'll be damned. Here's the link:
http://shop.store.yahoo.com/bfpcotton/mirugmatrug.html
Colors
are a little strong. Not a subtle rug.
Regards,
R. John Howe
Hi John
Your "open mind" comment reminds me of the distant past, my
days as an undergraduate. One of my classmates always thought that by constantly
asking questions he was impressing the instructors. About half way through the
first year physics course, the prof became visibly exasperated.
"I'm
only keeping an open mind", my fellow student said. The prof, a tall, slender
fellow, brought himself up to his full height, looked the kid straight in the
eye, and said "It's good to keep an open mind, Mr. Burke, but you must be
careful not to let your brains fall out."
Regards
Steve Price
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